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Excerpted from lecture “Simulate Mistakes, Introduce Winners”.
Delivered in March 1998 by the Vice President of Business Information for a telecommunications client at the Institute for International Research Pre-Testing and Market Probing Summit.
Three years ago, we faced five challenges: a new brand, new technology, new products, new markets, and new competitors. There was an opportunity to re-make the business and many decision options, with an urgent need to be "right the first time". Issues included:
  • How to define a marketing strategy
  • How to direct product development
  • How to assess competitive threats
We opted for a comprehensive model of choice covering multiple geographic areas that collected data from 6000 current and prospective customers. The model used was SUMM®, a proprietary technique of Eric Marder Associates.

SUMM® was chosen because of its ability to integrate perceptions with importance measures to predict respondent choice, its capacity to represent detail, and its enhanced simulation capability.

SUMM® is appropriate for situations in which a large number of open-ended issues (such as the following) must be evaluated:
  • What should our basic strategy be?
  • How should we respond to an as-yet-unidentified competitor?
  • Which configuration of hundreds of detailed features will have the best potential?
  • Which marketing or technical alternatives are worth working on?
Numerous validation experiences have lent credibility to the process. We have integrated SUMM® modeling methodology into our customer satisfaction tracking process.

Instead of traditional satisfaction, we focus our attention on the "chooser share" among current customers: a concrete probability of repurchase rate that allows "apples-to-apples" evaluation of strategies designed to improve customer satisfaction.
SUMM® has been a powerful ally in maintaining and improving our marketing competitiveness. It let us simulate mistakes and introduce winners.
Case History 1: Building Revenue Back into the Phone Sale
Case History 2: New Market Launch
Case History 3: Valuing the Brand (Premium)
Case History 4: Shifting the Sales Mix to More Profitable Products
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